Coherence and probability in legal evidence

Coherence, Evidence, and Legal Proof

Why Wasn't O.j. Convicted? Emotional Coherence in Legal Inference Explanatory Coherence Probability Theory Wishful Thinking

This paper evaluates four competing psychological explanations for why the jury in the O.J. Simpson murder trial reached the verdict they did: explanatory coherence, Bayesian probability theory, wishful thinking, and emotional coherence. It describes computational models that provide detailed simulations of juror reasoning for explanatory coherence, Bayesian networks, and emotional coherence , ...

Coherence and Probability

A process of construction of subjective probability based on bets introduced by Bruno de Finetti on (1931) is reviewed in detail. 1. INTRODUCTION This paper is based on some articles written by Bruno de Finetti on construction of subjective probability. The aim is to characterize coherent numerical measures of uncertainty as probabilities. Such measures belong to a rational person called \You" ...

Dependence of Default Probability and Recovery Rate in Structural Credit Risk Models: Empirical Evidence from Greece

The main idea of this paper is to study the dependence between the probability of default and the recovery rate on credit portfolio and to seek empirically this relationship. We examine the dependence between PD and RR by theoretical approach. For the empirically methodology, we use the bootstrapped quantile regression and the simultaneous quantile regression. These methods allow to determinate...

the relationship between efl learners linguistic and logical intelligence and the frequency and types of informal fallacies and evidence in argumentative writing

مطالعه حاضر با هدف بررسی وجود رابطه ی ممکن میان هوشهای زبانی و منطقی زبان آموزان انگلیسی و تعداد و انواع مغلطه های زبانی و شواهد در متنهای استدلالی آنان انجام پذیرفته است.بدین منظور، 70 زبان آموز با سطح زبانی متوسط به بالا از دو موسسه زبان انگلیسی در ایران انتخاب شده و پرسشنامه های مزبوطه را تکمیل نموده و متنی استدلالی نوشتند. متون نوشته شده مورد بررسی قرار گرفته و نمرات پرسشنامه ها محاسبه شده ...